Tuesday, April 21, 2015

Chapter 6_Defeaters?

Introduction

Suppose there is just one theory – from evolutionary psychology, for example – that is inconsistent with Christian belief, and suppose just a few scientists accept or belief or propose it: does that by itself constitute a science/religion conflict? How widely accepted must such a theory be, in order to constitute a science/religion conflict?[1]

Simonian science – scientific theories incompatible with Christian belief.[2]

Plantinga: [W]hat should [a Christian with both religious and scientific commitments] think about scientific theories incompatible with Christian belief? Should the existence of these theories induce intellectual disquiet, cognitive dissonance? To put the matter less metaphorically, does the existence of such theories give you a defeater for those beliefs with which they are incompatible?[3]

I. Defeaters and Their Nature

Rebutting defeaters – cases in which I learn that the defeated belief is false.[4]

Example – I observe what appear to be sheep in a field, but am later informed by the owner of the field that there are no sheep there, but only dogs that resemble sheep.

Undercutting defeaters – Cases in which I don’t learn that the defeated belief is false, but instead lose my reason for holding the belief.[5]

Example – I observe what I believe to be Paul leaving his house, but later learn that Paul has an identical twin brother currently staying with him, such that I must remain agnostic about whether the person I’m observing is really Paul or his twin.

Plantinga: Whether a belief B is a defeater for another belief B* depends on what else I believe.[6]

Example – I observe what appear to be sheep in a field, but am later informed by the owner of the field that there are no sheep there, but only dogs that resemble sheep. However, I also believe that the owner of the field is a contrarian and loves to contradict people just for the fun of it (or that the dogs are sheep in disguise).

Warrant – the quality that distinguishes knowledge from mere true belief. Warrant, for Plantinga, consists in a belief being produced by cognitive faculties that are functioning properly in an appropriate environment, i.e., according to their (truth-aimed) design plan.[7]

Warrant defeaters – Circumstances that result in my belief’s failing to have warrant in a state of affairs where it would otherwise have it.[8]

Example – observing what I believe to be a barn in a field, but learning that natives have erected 4 times as many barn facades as there were real barns, such that, even with my faculties working reliably, it could only be by sheer luck that I form the belief with respect to a real barn.

Rationality defeaters – A belief or experience that undermines the warrant of another belief, e.g., the belief that our epistemic faculties are not truth-aimed.

Example[A]lthough a naturalist will continue to assume R[, i.e., the proposition that our faculties are "reliable", where, roughly, a cognitive faculty is "reliable" if the great bulk of its deliverances are true,] "but (if he reflects on the matter) he will also think, sadly enough, that what he can't help believing is unlikely to be true."[9]

All rationality defeaters are warrant defeaters; the converse, of course, doesn’t hold. A rationality defeater, furthermore, will be a belief (or an experience); a warrant defeater need not be, but will ordinarily be just some feature of the environment, as in the barn case above. One need not be aware of warrant defeaters, and in the typical case of warrant defeaters that are not also rationality defeaters, one is not aware of them; a rationality defeater, however, is ordinarily a belief of which one is in fact aware. Finally, if you come to know about a situation that constitutes a warrant defeater for a belief you hold, then (typically) you also have a rationality defeater for that belief.[10]

Q1: What is the difference between a warrant defeater and a rationality defeater? Does anyone have any objections to Plantinga’s definitions above?

II. Evidence Base

Evidence base – the set of beliefs I use, or to which I appeal, in conducting an inquiry…One of the main functions of one’s evidence base, therefore, is that of evaluating possible hypotheses, evaluating them as plausible and probable of implausible and improbable…It is the evidence base that determines the initial plausibility or probability of a proposed scientific theory.[11]

[T]he evidence base of a Christian theist will include theism, belief in God and also the main lines of the Christian faith; therefore it will assign a high probability to hypotheses probable with respect to the Christian faith.[12]…The evidence base of a scientific inquiry will not contain propositions obviously entailing the existence of God (or other supernatural beings); nor will it include propositions one knows or thinks one knows by way of revelation.[13]…[Therefore,] the scientific evidence base is importantly different from a Christian evidence base.[14]

Q2: Should beliefs in themselves constitute evidence? Shouldn’t a belief also have some degree of independent warrant itself to be considered evidence?

à Plantinga: Perhaps this is the case with respect to certain beliefs, but not “properly basic beliefs.”

Q3: If what justifies religious belief is its status as a properly basic belief – which Plantinga admits encompasses only crude religious propositions (like God’s existence, for example)[15] – then how is it that all the finer-grained details of the Christian faith (e.g., the virgin birth, the divinity of Jesus, etc.) also get included, such that merely believing those propositions justifies someone in treating them as evidence?[16]

Plantinga seems to be offering a sort of Bayesian probability analysis to the question of whether particular beliefs are warranted. Specifically, he seems to be treating one’s background beliefs as the assumption upon which subsequent probabilities are assessed, such that a belief is warranted just in case it has a high probability of being true given that one’s background beliefs are true.

Q4: Why think that the probability of a state of affairs given that one’s background beliefs are true makes a person warranted in believing that state of affairs? Do you think a Bayesian analysis is appropriate in this context?

III. Methodological Naturalism

Methodological Naturalism (MN) – A proposed condition or constraint on proper science, or the proper practice of science, not a statement about the nature of the universe [i.e., not ontological naturalism]…More generally, the idea is that in science we should proceed as if the supernatural is not given: in science, we can’t properly appeal to God’s creative activity, but we also can’t appeal to angels and demons.[17]

(1)  For any scientific theory, there is its data set or data model; roughly speaking we can think of the data or phenomena that are to be explained by the theory in question…The data must be presented or stated in terms of certain parameters or categories; it could include, for example, the results of certain experiments, but will not (ordinarily) include alleged information described as hearsay. According to the MN, furthermore, the data model of a proper scientific theory will not invoke God or other supernatural agents, or employ what one knows or thinks one knows by way of revelation.[18]
(2)  [A]ccording to MN the parameters for a scientific theory are not to include reference to God or any other supernatural agents (although, again, they can refer to beliefs about the supernatural); and the theory, like the data set, also can’t employ what one knows or thinks one knows by way of revelation.[19]
(3)  MN also imposes a constraint on the evidence base of any scientific inquiry. This evidence base will include mathematics and logic, relevant current science, various common sense beliefs and propositions (for example, that there is an external world, and that the world has existed for a long time), and perhaps also maxims outlining proper scientific procedure.[20]

Eugenie Scott – “Science neither denies or opposes the supernatural, but ignores the supernatural for methodological reasons.”[21]

Q5: Do you think that MN is appropriate to the context of scientific investigation and theorizing? Why or why not?

Plantinga: Simonian science…incorporates the denials of crucial elements of the Christian faith in its evidence base.[22]

Weak MN – According to weak MN, a scientific evidence base will not include the proposition that there is such a person as God, or any other supernatural being; nor, of course, will it include the main lines of the Christian faith.[23]

Strong MN – Strong MN goes further; it adds the denials of at least some of these beliefs to the evidence base.[24]

IV. Is Simonian Science a Defeater for Christian Belief?

Plantinga: [T]hat conclusion is a simple consequence of the evidence they start with (MN). Their coming to that conclusion from the starting point is surely no reason to give up or moderate belief in the resurrection of Jesus; it does not constitute a defeater for that belief.[25]

Q6: Does science, in some sense, beg the question against theism through its methodological commitments?

For Plantinga’s argument here to succeed, we would have to assume that scientists were committed to Strong MN, i.e., assume that scientists employed MN as a sort of premise from which they deduced their conclusions.

Q7: Is this the right way to think of the role of MN in scientific investigation? Is it really an assumption from which inferences are drawn (Strong MN), or is it rather the necessary consequence of not taking God’s existence for granted, i.e., the resistance to “positing entities beyond necessity” (Weak MN)? Is it right to think of MN as a positive metaphysical claim at all (Strong MN), or does it merely represent the terminus of what we can fairly conclude given the evidence that we have (Weak MN)?

[W]hat the success of Simonian science really shows is something like this: that with respect to its evidence base, its conclusions are probable, or sensible, or approvable as science or as good science. What is shows with respect to the Christian’s evidence base, therefore, is that from the perspective of part of that evidence base – the part coinciding with the scientific evidence base – the Simonian conclusions are probable, or sensible, or approvable, or constitute good science. Therefore what it shows is that with respect to part of [the Christian theist’s] evidence base, some of her beliefs are improbable or unlikely. That need not give her a defeater for those beliefs. For it can easily happen that I come to see that one of my beliefs in unlikely with respect to part of my evidence base, without thereby incurring a defeater for that belief.[26]

The suggestion is that the Christian theist possesses other “evidence” (the unmentioned parts of her evidence base) that mitigates the doubt-raising evidence of EP and HBC. In fact, the claim is stronger than that; it is that science, on MN, provides an incomplete evidence base and, therefore, yields incomplete conclusions. The implication seems to be that science plus theism would provide a complete evidence base that would yield more complete conclusions.[27] This is the consummation of an argument that Plantinga has been employing in a more narrow capacity now for 5 chapters.

For the Christian, Simonian science is like truncated physics. Concede that from the point of view of the evidence base of Simonian science, constrained as it is by MN, Simonian science is indeed the way to go (and of course perhaps it isn’t): this need not give the Christian a defeater for those of her beliefs contradicted by Simonian science; for the evidence base of the latter is only part of her evidence base.[28]

Q8: Do you think there could be a successful scientific enterprise that doesn’t include MN, or even includes methodological theism (MT) or methodological Christianity (MC)? Why or why not? If so, what would that science look like?[29]

Plantinga: Does the jury’s decision give me a defeater for my belief that I’m innocent?

à No…And the reason is that I have a source of knowledge or warranted belief they don’t: I remember that I didn’t commit that crime?

Q9: What is the Christian supposed to have in his/her evidence base that corresponds to Plantinga’s memory that he didn’t slash the tires on my car? Are you comfortable with his equivalent use of knowledge and warranted belief, where warranted belief simply means properly basic belief (i.e., belief for which we need no independent evidence to support our confidence in)?

V. Faith and Reason

Problem of Faith and Reason –

According to classical Christian belief, there are two sources of knowledge or rational opinion: faith and reason. Reason includes such faculties as perception, a priori intuition (whereby one knows truths of mathematics and truths of logic), memory, testimony (whereby one can learn from others), induction (whereby one can learn from experience) and perhaps others, such as Thomas Reid’s sympathy, whereby we know of the thoughts and feelings of other people. Perhaps there is also a moral sense, whereby we know something of what is right and wrong; perhaps there are still others. These faculties or sources of belief/knowledge are part of our created cognitive nature; every properly functioning human being has them…Faith on the other hand, is a wholly different kettle of fish: according to the Christian tradition (including both Thomas Aquinas and John Calvin), faith is a special gift from God, not part of our ordinary epistemic equipment. Faith is a source of belief, a source that goes beyond the faculties included in reason.[30]

Q10: Is this the proper way to think of faith? Is biblical faith really akin to the epistemic faculties, i.e., a source of beliefs/knowledge?

Plantinga: [T]he mere fact that the deliverances of faith include propositions not among the deliverances of reason doesn’t show that there is…a conflict between faith and reason.[31]

Weak conflict – [M]y acquiring the evidence for having committed the crime (the same evidence as the jurors have for that proposition) doesn’t give me a defeater for my belief, based on memory, that in fact I didn’t commit the crime. It doesn’t give me a reason to give up that belief, or even to hold it less firmly.[32]

Plantinga: How much evidence of that sort would be required to give me a defeater?

à How much would depend on the reliability of the witnesses, the question what I know or believe about whether my memory had ever before failed me in such drastic fashion, and so on.[33]

Strong conflict – [O]nly…sufficient evidence of that sort could give me a defeater for my belief that I was innocent, and where that does in fact happen, what we have is a strong conflict between memory and these other sources of belief.[34]

Plantinga: My evidence base contains the belief that God has created human beings in his image. I now learn that, given an evidence base that doesn’t contain that belief, the right thing to believe is that those mechanisms are not truth-aimed; but of course that doesn’t give me any reason at all to amend or reject my belief that in fact they are truth aimed.[35]

Q11: Rather than treat a person’s background beliefs as evidence for a claim, isn’t it more reasonable to treat them as alternative hypotheses, and then test those hypotheses against experience to see which is the true one, especially in cases like this in which the two alternative hypotheses make different predictions? Should we treat different background beliefs in our evidence base by different standards, e.g., should beliefs based on memory be treated distinctly from beliefs based on faith?[36]

Q12: Do you think evolutionary psychology and biblical criticism represent instances of weak conflict, strong conflict, or neither?

VI. Can Religious Belief be Defeated?

The believer could always just say that his evidence base includes the challenged belief, and is therefore probable with respect to that evidence base (because entailed by it). But the fact is defeat is not impossible; it sometimes happens that I do acquire a defeater for a belief B I hold by learning that B is improbable on some proper subset of my evidence base.[37]

[I]n some cases one can indeed acquire a defeater for a belief held on the basis of the Bible; I can come to see that what the Bible teaches isn’t what I thought it was.[38]

Q13: Can religious beliefs only be defeated by facts internal to that way of thinking, i.e., other religious beliefs, like what the Bible “really” teaches? If so, wouldn’t that effectively exclude certain conclusions from ever being drawn by the theist, namely a conclusion that contradicts some essential tenet of his/her faith, like that the Bible is not inspired, or that God doesn’t exist?

Types of defeaters for religious belief:
(1)  Learning that B is improbable on some proper subset of my evidence base.[39]
(2) 

Plantinga: How is it that you get a defeater in some case of this sort, but not in others? What makes the difference?

à [T]he one case conforms to the definition of rationality defeat, and the other one doesn’t.

Plantinga: I am prepared to believe whatever the Lord teaches; what he teaches is non-negotiable. But it isn’t always easy to determine just what he does teach in a given passage; might it not be, with respect to this passage, that the message endorsed by God is not (N) but something else? What is my reason for thinking that (N) is indeed what the Lord is teaching in this passage?[40]

Q14: How might Plantinga respond to the challenge that it is not always easy either to determine if God has in fact taught anything at all, and that this consideration imposes at least some pressure on the theist to consider not only alternative interpretations of biblical passages when confronted with facts that seem to contradict it, but also the rejection of biblical passages as well?

VII. The Reductionist Test

The reduction test for defeat –

The right question, perhaps, is this: is (B) epistemically improbable or unlikely with respect to that new evidence base? If it is, perhaps we have a defeater; is not, not…The idea – call it “the reduction test for defeat” – is that (A) is a defeater for (B) just if (B) is relatively improbable – epistemically improbable – with respect to EBme-(B)..., where EBme-(B) is any subset of EBme that doesn’t entail (B) and is otherwise maximally similar to EBme.[41]

(This reduction condition is Plantinga’s means of avoiding the charge of begging the question.)

Perhaps [the reduction test for defeat] states a necessary condition of rationality defeat: perhaps, whenever I get a defeater for a belief (B) by way of acquiring a new belief (A), B will be relatively improbable with respect to EBme-(B). But this condition is nowhere nearly sufficient for defeat…For it might be, clearly enough, that (B) has a lot of warrant on its own, intrinsic warrant, warrant it doesn’t get from the other members of EBme or indeed any other propositions; (B) may be basic with respect to its warrant. But then the fact that it is unlikely with respect to EBme-(B) doesn’t show for a moment that the belief isn’t perfectly rational.[42]

In a case like this, whether I have a defeater for the belief P in question will depend, on the one hand, upon the strength of the intrinsic warrant enjoyed by P, and, on the other, the strength of the evidence against P from EBme-P.[43]

Q15: What do you think about Plantinga’s reduction test for defeat? Do you think it successfully defends theism from the “superficial conflicts” presented by evolutionary psychology and biblical criticism? Why or why not?

Plantinga: The Christian can think of Simonian science as specifying how things look from a given perspective, how they look given a particular evidence base, an evidence base that includes only a part of the Christian evidence base. The mere existence of Simonian science – science that comes to conclusions incompatible with tenets of the Christian faith – has no tendency to produce a defeater for those tenets…Simonian science specifies how things look from a given perspective or evidence base, a perspective characterized by methodological naturalism.[44]

Q16: Are you satisfied with Plantinga’s defense against the claim that evolutionary psychology and biblical criticism provide defeaters for Christian belief? Why or why not?



[1] P. 167.
[2] P. 168.
[3] P. 168.
[4] p. 169.
[5] p. 169.
[6] P. 169.
[7] Note that Plantinga’s account seems to allow for someone to have knowledge even in the case in which his/her belief is not true, since warrant only requires that the faculties that produce it produce true beliefs most of the time, i.e., produce beliefs with a high probability of being true.
[8] P. 170-171.
[9] Wikipedia. “Evolutionary argument against naturalism.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evolutionary_argument_against_naturalism. Quote is cited from Beilby(2002) p. 211.
[10] P. 170-171.
[11] P. 171-172, 177.
[12] P. 172.
[13] P. 177.
[14] P. 177.
[15] See p. 62-63.
[16] Plantinga recognizes these beliefs as constituting evidence on p. 172 and 177.
[17] P. 174.
[18] P. 176.
[19] P. 176.
[20] P. 177.
[21] P. 174.
[22] p. 178.
[23] p. 178.
[24] P. 178.
[25] P. 179.
[26] P. 180.
[27] See p. 180.
[28] P. 182.
[29] Plantinga suggests this more explicitly on p. 195.
[30] P. 182-183.
[31] P. 183.
[32] P. 184.
[33] P. 184-185.
[34] P. 185.
[35] P. 185.
[36] The reason I raise this last question is because Plantinga’s example in which he remembers not slashing the tires has some initial plausibility to it, while the principle he seeks to draw from this example, i.e., that all background beliefs serve equally as evidence, including faith in tenets taught in scripture, doesn’t seem nearly as plausible. Why doesn’t the plausibility of the example extend also to the faith case?
[37] P. 188.
[38] P. 190.
[39] P. 188.
[40] P. 189.
[41] P. 191-192.
[42] P. 193.
[43] P. 194.
[44] P. 195.