Friday, March 13, 2015

Chapter 3_Divine Action in the World: The Old Picture

Introduction

Religious belief in general and Christian belief in particular is committed to the belief that God acts in the world.[1]

Heidelberg Catechism:

Providence is the almighty and ever present power of God by which he upholds, as with his hand, heaven and earth and all creatures, and so rules them that lead and blade, rain and drought, fruitful and lean years, food and drink, health and sickness, prosperity and poverty – all things, in fact, come to us not by chance but from his fatherly hand.[2]

Plantinga: Why is this a problem?

à According to Christian and theistic views of God…

(1) God is a person.

He is thus a being who has knowledge; he also has affections (he loves some things, hates others); he has ends and aims, and acts on the basis of his knowledge to achieve his ends. Furthermore, God is all-powerful, all-knowing, and wholly good. These properties are essential to him: it isn’t possible that he should fail to have them.[3]

(2) God has created our world out of nothing.
(3) God conserves the world, sustains it in being…[A]part from that sustaining, supporting activity, the world would simply fail to exist.
(4) God so governs the world that whatever happens is to be thought of as “coming for his fatherly hand”; he either causes or permits whatever does in fact happen; none of it is to be thought of as a result of mere chance.

[T]his governing…comes in at least two parts. First of all, God governs the world in such a way that is displays regularity and predictability…According to the Christian belief, however, it is also true that God sometimes does things differently; he sometimes deviates from the usual way in which he treats the stuff he has made. Examples would be miracles…[4]

Examples include:
(1) Miracles – Parting of the Red Sea, converting water into wine, raising Lazarus from the dead, Jesus’ own resurrection, etc.
(2) God does something special in enabling Christians to see the truth of the central teachings of the gospel[5]
(3) Grace
(4) Inspiration
(5) Providence
(6) Answering prayer

Q1: Do you agree with Plantinga that Christians are committed to the view that God acts specially in the world? Why or why not?

I. The Problem

Langdon Gilkey: Modern theologians don’t really believe that God did any of those things – or, indeed, that he did anything at all.

The historical method includes the presuppositions that history is a unity in the sense of a closed continuum of effects in which individual events are connected by the succession of cause and effect…This closedness means that the continuum of historical happenings cannot be rent by the interference of supernatural, transcendent powers and that therefore there is no “miracle” in this sense of the word. Such a miracle would be an event whose cause did not lie with history…It is in accordance with such a method as this that the science of history goes to work on all historical documents. And there cannot be any exceptions in the case of biblical texts if the latter are at all to be understood historically.[6]

Whatever the Hebrews believed, we believe that the biblical people lived in the same causal continuum of space and time in which we live, and so one in which no divine wonders transpired and no divine voices were hears.[7]

Deism (Medes and Persian conception): God has perhaps created the world and established the way it works; perhaps he has ordained and promulgated the natural laws; but once he has done so, not even he can act in that world.[8]

It is special divine action that…is the problem[, e.g., miracles and divine intervention].[9]

Plantinga: What’s the problem with special divine action? Why should anyone object to it?

à Incompatibility with modern science, specifically:

(1) Determinism[10]

Science is often identified with determinism. In a purely deterministic universe there would be so room for God to work in the world except through the sort of miraculous intervention that Hume…found to be so insupportable.[11]

(2) The conservation laws

The problem…is this. Science discovers and endorses natural laws; if God did miracles or acted specially in the world, he would have to contravene these laws and miraculously intervene; and that is incompatible with science. Religion and science, therefore, are in conflict, which does not bode well for religion.

Plantinga: But is all this really true?

II. The Old Picture

[A]ccording to Newton and classical mechanics, natural laws describe how the world works when, or provided that the world is a closed (isolated) system, subject to no outside causal influence. In classical physics, the great conservation laws deduced form Newton’s laws are seated for closed or isolated systems.[12]

A. The Newtonian Picture

These principles, therefore, apply to isolated or closed systems. If so, however, there is nothing in this principle to prevent God from changing the velocity or direction of a particle. If he did so, obviously, energy would not be conserved in the system in question; but equally obviously, that system would not be closed, in which case the principle of conservation of energy would not apply to it.[13]

Furthermore, it is no part of Newtonian mechanics or classical science to declare that the material universe is a closed system…[T]hat claim isn’t physics, but a theological or metaphysical add-on.[14]

The argument is made that because of natural laws, God cannot or does not intervene. However, one can simply argue that the correct view of a natural law is that “When the universe is causally closed (when God is not acting specially in the world), P.”

Q2: What do you think about Plantinga’s claim that the “classical scientific (Newtonian)” picture doesn’t hold that our universe is a closed system?

Plantinga: [C]learly there is a possible world that (i) shares its past with the actual world, (ii) is not causally closed (because, perhaps, God acts specially in it) and (iii) does not share its future with the actual world. Therefore determinism, which entails (6), is false.[15]

Q3: What do you think about Plantinga’s argument above? Is this question begging?

B. The Laplacean Picture

Laplacean picture = Determinism + the causal closure of the physical universe[16]

Why?

à Because it is possible in principle to predict in principle the future state of the universe given its original state plus the natural laws. “If God had ever acted specially in the world, the Laplacean demon would be unable to make those calculations.”[17]

Free Will Problem: The Laplacean picture implies (or strongly suggests) that no human actions are free.[18]

Q4: Do you agree with Plantinga that the Laplacean picture (i.e., determinism) implies that no human actions are free? Does he think that all varieties of compatibilism fail? If so, what are his arguments against them?

Plantinga: Whether determinism is incompatible with human freedom depends on the nature of the laws. If the laws are no more than Humean descriptive generalizations, if they merely record what actually happens, then there is no reason to think that determinism is incompatible with human freedom.[19]

The same goes for a conception of laws like that of David Lewis: a set of exceptionless generalizations that is maximal with respect to a combination of strength and simplicity. Here (as in the previous case) laws would supervene on particular matters of fact.[20]

Q5: What do you think about the Humean and Lewisinean conception of natural laws? Do you think they have any merit? Why or why not?

Plantinga: Just as the Newtonian picture leaves room for divine action in the world, so it also leaves room for human free action [(dualistically conceived)].[21]

For suppose – along with Plato, Augustine, and Descartes and many contemporaries – that human beings resemble God in being immaterial selves or substances. Then just as God, who is an immaterial being, can act in the hard, heavy, massy physical universe, so too, perhaps, can human beings; God could confer on them the power to cause changes in the physical universe.[22]

Q6: Granting that the situation described is possible, how is God supposed to overcome the mind/body problem? In other words, how does God, being spirit, cause events in the physical world?


Q7: Assuming that God does act specially in the world, how could we detect it?

By assuming special divine action to occur, you open the possibility to measuring God with standard scientific tools. Depending on how active God is in the world, the task of detecting him might range from virtually impossible to inevitable. Presumably, though, to accomplish the types of feats that God is credited with (miracles and the like), his activity can’t be so subtle as to evade all possibility of detection. And when you consider some of the ingenious experiments scientists have come up with to detect, and precisely measure, the effects of subatomic particles, is it reasonable to think that God’s activity in the world might evade detection if scientists went looking for it?

While I listened to Dr. Plantinga’s argument, it struck me that such thinking is very scientific. Indeed, scientists regularly ignore outliers in their data. If a scientist collects 100 data points, and 99 of them show a distinct pattern but 1 is far off that pattern, it is generally considered an outlier. Often, a scientist will ignore the outlier in trying to understand what the bulk of the data mean. Using this reasoning, then, God intervening in nature is the outlier. It doesn’t happen very often, and when it happens, it should be very clear. As a result, it is easily ignored when coming to scientific conclusions.[23]

Approaching the problem from this direction, we can construct the following argument:

(1)       If God acts specially in the world, then there are physical events in the world whose proximate cause is God
(2)       If there are physical events in the world whose proximate cause is God, then these events can be measured by science
(3)       But if these events are caused by God, then they will not be explainable by any other known (natural) cause in the universe
(4)       Therefore, if there are not any physical events in the world that are not explainable by any other known (natural) cause in the universe, then there are no events whose proximate cause is God
(5)       There are not any physical events in the world that are not explainable by any other known (natural) cause in the universe
(6)       Therefore, there are no events whose proximate cause is God, i.e., ~(1)
(7)       If (6), then God does not act specially in the world
(8)       Therefore, God does not act specially in the world

Q8: What do you think about the above argument? Does it prove that God doesn’t act specially in the world? Why or why not?

Q9: What other considerations besides scientific ones might there be to oppose a worldview in which God acts specially in the world? E.g., does it exacerbate the problem of evil (if God intervened in this case, why didn’t he intervene in that case?); is it consistent with the classical notion of God (if God acting in the world is something that human beings can really influence, then doesn’t that undermine the assumption that God necessarily does the right/best thing in every possible situation?); etc.

Other links and resources

(1)  Divine Action Project (Oxford University) - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HmSKMbq7Fk8
(2)  Interview with Dr. Robert Lawrence Kuhn – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2kfzD3ofUb4
(3)  Plantinga lecture on divine action - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N5DPneR-Rtc

(4)  James “Some Metaphysical Problems Pragmatically Considered” - http://www.gutenberg.org/files/5116/5116-h/5116-h.htm




[1] P. 67.
[2] P. 67.
[3] P. 68.
[4] P. 70.
[5] P. 70.
[6] Rudolf Bultman, Existence and Faith [London: Hodder and Stoughton, 1961], 191-92.
[7] P. 71-72.
[8] P. 73.
[9] P. 74.
[10] P. 76-77.
[11] P. 76-77.
[12] P. 80.
[13] P. 80.
[14] P. 81.
[15] P. 84.
[16] P. 87.
[17] P. 89.
[18] P. 90.
[19] P. 90.
[20] P. 91.
[21] P. 91. See p. 92 for caveat.
[22] P. 91-92.

Sunday, March 1, 2015

On the topic of evidential support for religious belief (answered prayers, etc.)

After yesterday’s discussion, I've been really curious about what precisely Christians believe about what practical difference the fact of God's existence makes in this world. As Shawn pointed out, it seems that Christians do, at least in unguarded moments, refer to empirical evidence to support their belief in God, e.g., apparent answers to prayer, etc.

Even if we disagree with some of the particular ways in which Christians tend to employ prayer, there’s no question that the Bible affirms the practice within the appropriate boundaries. James 5:16, for example, encourages Christians to “confess your sins to each other and pray for each other so that you may be healed. The prayer of a righteous person is powerful and effective.”

But can anyone offer any insight into what actual hypothesis is supposed to be receiving confirmation in these situations?

Is it something like “If God exists, and I pray for x to happen, then the probability that x will happen will be increased to some nonnegligible degree above statistical randomness”?

…Or, recognizing that even the placebo effect can explain nonnegligible increases of a thing’s probability above statistical randomness (at least in the appropriate contexts, like prayers concerning someone’s health), do they hypothesize that “If God exists, and I pray for x to happen, then the probability that x will happen will be increased to some nonnegligible degree above what the placebo effect could reasonably account for”?

Although I’m confident that many Christians actually do approach prayer in these ways (probably the former more so than the latter), I don’t think either of the above are hypotheses that serious Christians should endorse. So what other possibilities are there?

Presumably, if Christianity is true, we should only expect a positive statistical correlation to obtain between certain prayers aimed at certain targets. On this view, it’s not just the probabilities that are significant to confirming hypotheses regarding the effectiveness of prayer, but also the broader context in which the prayer was offered.

In other words, the truth of Christianity is in principle compatible with a situation in which there were no significant statistical correlation between prayers for x and occurrences of x, at least as long as the entire set of prayers offered was taken into consideration. This could happen, for instance, if the total sample contained more of the wrong sorts of prayers than the right ones, so many more that it masked whatever effect the right sort of prayers might have otherwise had. Presumably, though, if we removed all the wrong sorts of prayers from the sample, the truth of verses like James 5:16 predicts that we should be able to detect some nonnegligible statistical correlation between prayers for x and occurrences of x.

So then, which sorts of prayers should we expect to be effective, i.e., to produce an empirical effect? Here are a few options, which are not taken to be mutually exclusive from one another:
  • Those offered in unusually high stakes situations (when we really need God)
  • Those that play some especially significant role in the furthering of God’s kingdom (when God really needs us, so to speak)
  • Those that correspond to some promise made in scripture (which may serve no other function than to facilitate relationship between man and God)

Does anyone else have any other suggestions?...

Since we're on an off week this week, I thought I'd go ahead and suggest some discussion questions to give us something to talk about in the interim. No pressure for anyone to respond, but they're here if the topic interests you.

Q1: Do you agree with my statement above, that if we removed all the wrong sorts of prayers from our sample, then the truth of verses like James 5:16 predicts that we should be able to detect some nonnegligible statistical correlation between prayers for x and occurrences of x? Why or why not?

Q2: If you don’t think that James 5:16 makes any empirical predictions, do you think that there may be other scriptures that do? If so, could you suggest one? For any passage you suggest, could you speculate concerning the nature of the prediction(s) it makes, and what its verification conditions might be?

Q3: If you don’t think there are any scriptures that make empirical predictions, what do you think of the practice often observed among Christians of referring to empirical evidences to justify their belief in God? Should they give it up? Why or why not?

Q4: If you don’t think there are any scriptures that make empirical predictions, how else might religious belief be epistemically justified?


Q5: Finally, does this new standard of epistemic justification impose any additional constraints on what kinds of beliefs might be justified, e.g., does it rule out the possibility of having justified beliefs about empirically fine-grained facts, such as God was incarnated in the person of Jesus of Nazareth, born of a virgin, etc., etc.? If not, why not? If so, how useful do you think the beliefs it permits (being empirically thin, or even vacuous) would be in guiding our practical affairs?